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2024-12-14 12:40:23

CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.Canada asked the Labor Committee to put Canadian postal workers back to work.Research institutions predict that Thailand's economy will grow by 2.4% in 2025. Thailand Kaitai Research Center released a report on the 13th, saying that it predicted that Thailand's gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 2.4% in 2025, slightly lower than the growth forecast of 2.5% in 2024. The Kaitai Research Center believes that the slowdown in Thailand's economic growth is mainly due to the weakening of tourism, and it is expected that Thailand's exports to the US market will slow down. (Zhongxin. com)


Jintou Chengkai: The major asset restructuring plan was changed to asset sale, and Jintou Chengkai announced that in order to further optimize the company's asset structure, enhance profitability, reduce the debt level, improve efficiency, speed up the transaction process and reduce transaction costs, the company plans to transfer 46.33% equity of its shareholding subsidiary Huafugong Company. The original planned major asset restructuring includes the transfer of 90% equity of Huachi Company, 46.33% equity of Huafugong Company and 31.89% equity of Tianfang Property Company, which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring. The adjusted plan is to transfer 46.33% equity of Huafugong Company to Tianjin Investment Capital, the controlling shareholder of the company, through a non-public agreement at a price of 233 million yuan. After the completion of this transaction, the company no longer holds the equity of Huafugong Company. This transaction constitutes a related party transaction, but it does not constitute a major asset reorganization, and it needs to be submitted to the company's shareholders' meeting for consideration.Market news: Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva entered the semi-intensive care unit for recovery after surgery.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.


Research institutions predict that Thailand's economy will grow by 2.4% in 2025. Thailand Kaitai Research Center released a report on the 13th, saying that it predicted that Thailand's gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 2.4% in 2025, slightly lower than the growth forecast of 2.5% in 2024. The Kaitai Research Center believes that the slowdown in Thailand's economic growth is mainly due to the weakening of tourism, and it is expected that Thailand's exports to the US market will slow down. (Zhongxin. com)Analyst: Britain's economic contraction for the second consecutive month sounded the alarm. AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson said in a report that one month's data can't tell the whole story, but when the British economy contracted for two consecutive months-just like September and October-it is worthy of attention. The last time the economy contracted for two consecutive months was during the first pandemic blockade in 2020. She said that the uncertainty before the government budget may lead individuals and businesses to avoid spending for fear of possible tax increases. Bars, restaurants and art industries were hit hard in October. Hewson said that such discretionary expenses can be easily cut. In addition, looking back over the past six months, except August, the economic activity in each month was flat or decreased.Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.

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